Results · Case studies
Case studies: work our founder led, in signed cases
Twelve anonymized case studies, each with the firm's own before and after: cost per signed case down 30% to 50% wherever there was a starting figure.
Results as reported by our founder, from each firm’s own records; rounded. Anonymized. This is work our founder led before founding Probative (one engagement, the large plaintiff firm, is ongoing); each firm’s own teams also contributed.
Twelve studies: a large plaintiff firm, a legal-services brand, an agency portfolio of 150+ injury firms, and nine firms in injury, lemon law, immigration and employment law. Each gives that firm’s own numbers, before and after, and the percentages are computed from them.
- Cost per signed case fell 30% to 50% in the ten studies with a starting figure; in five of them it halved.
- Signed cases grew 43% to 100% a month at comparable spend in the eight studies where spend held steady. Where spend grew, they grew faster: from 6 to 30 a month at one injury firm, and from 8 to 200 at the legal-services brand.
- Launches from zero: a lemon-law practice reached 120 signed cases a month, and a new employment practice 15 a month.
- Return on ad spend (fee value ÷ ad spend) went from 2×–3× to 4×–5× in the eight studies that tracked it before and after. At the large plaintiff firm it is about 15x across the whole account: the expected attorney-fee value of signed cases divided by ad spend.
- Engagements ran 15 to 36 months, from launch budgets up to about $4M a month in ad spend at a single firm.
Revenue figures in the studies are each firm’s totals. Many factors contributed to them, and they are not revenue we claim to have caused.
The studies are listed below, the large programs first.
How to read these results
- Signed cases, not leads. Every result is counted in signed cases (signed matters or engagements where that is the practice’s term) from the firm’s own records.
- Each firm’s own numbers, rounded. We publish what our founder reports and can substantiate, and nothing beyond it. Every claim needs a reasonable basis before it is made (FTC), and the records are kept on file.
- Audiences within the rules. No Customer Match or look-alike audiences were built from client lists; where remarketing ran, it ran only within each platform’s policies.
- Not a promise. Past results don’t predict yours. We promise the work and the reporting.
- Past work, labeled. This is not Probative client work. Future Probative client results will follow our published method.
See also our founder’s record and the ILLUSTRATIVE sample Monday report.
Results as reported by our founder, from each firm's own records; rounded. Anonymized: firms are not named.
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Personal injury · multistate · 30 months, ongoing
Large plaintiff firm: campaigns tied to signed cases, at about 15x return on ad spend
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Cost per signed case
Before: $8,000 After: $5,000
−38%
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Signed cases a month, at comparable spend
Before: 500 After: 800
+60%
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Return on ad spend, whole account
about 15x
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Legal services · national · 30 months
Legal-services brand: from launch to a $12M revenue run rate
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Cost per signed engagement
Before: $2,500 After: $1,250
−50%
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Signed engagements a month
Before: 8 After: 200
+2,400%
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Fee-value return on ad spend
Before: 2× After: 4×
doubled
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Personal injury · many markets · 36 months
Injury-firm portfolio: one signed-case standard across 150+ firms
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Blended cost per signed case
Before: $5,000 After: $3,500
−30%
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Signed cases a month, measured cohort, at comparable spend
Before: about 1,000 After: 1,430
+43%
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Personal injury · single market · 18 months
Injury firm: tighter targeting and answered calls in a single market
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Cost per signed case
Before: $6,000 After: $3,000
−50%
-
Signed cases a month, at comparable spend
Before: 10 After: 20
+100%
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Projected fee-value return on ad spend
Before: 2.5× After: 5×
doubled
-
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Personal injury · regional · 24 months
Injury firm: case-type pages, signed-case data and Spanish intake
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Cost per signed case
Before: $7,500 After: $5,000
−33%
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Signed cases a month, at comparable spend
Before: 20 After: 30
+50%
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Projected fee-value return on ad spend
Before: 3× After: 5×
+67%
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Personal injury · two markets · 20 months
Injury firm: a second market built, and less reliance on referrals
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Cost per signed case
Before: $5,000 After: $3,000
−40%
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Signed cases a month
Before: 6 After: 30
+400%
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Projected fee-value return on ad spend
Before: 2× After: 4×
doubled
-
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Lemon law · multistate · 30 months
Lemon-law firm: built from the ground up to a $12M revenue run rate
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Cost per signed case
$2,500 at scale
Before: none before launch
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Signed cases a month
Before: 0 After: 120
from launch
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Projected fee-value return on ad spend
4×
Before: untracked
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Lemon law · regional · 18 months
Lemon-law firm: eligibility screening and automated follow-up
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Cost per signed case
Before: $4,000 After: $2,000
−50%
-
Signed cases a month, at comparable spend
Before: 20 After: 40
+100%
-
Projected fee-value return on ad spend
Before: 2.5× After: 5×
doubled
-
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Immigration · Market not named · 18 months
Immigration firm: services separated, Spanish-first pages, faster follow-up
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Cost per signed matter
Before: $2,000 After: $1,000
−50%
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Signed matters a month, at comparable spend
Before: 20 After: 40
+100%
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Contracted fee-value return on ad spend
Before: 2.5× After: 5×
doubled
-
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Employment law · Market not named · 18 months
Employment firm: priority claims, structured qualification and faster review
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Cost per signed case
Before: $6,000 After: $3,000
−50%
-
Signed cases a month, at comparable spend
Before: 10 After: 20
+100%
-
Projected fee-value return on ad spend
Before: 3× After: 5×
+67%
-
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Employment law · regional · 24 months
Employment firm: each claim type given its own campaign, page and budget
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Cost per signed case
Before: $8,000 After: $5,000
−38%
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Signed cases a month, at comparable spend
Before: 15 After: 24
+60%
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Projected fee-value return on ad spend
Before: 3× After: 5×
+67%
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Employment law · narrow geography · 15 months
Employment firm: a new practice launched on a narrow focus
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Cost per signed case
$3,000 at scale
Before: none before launch
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Signed cases a month
Before: 0 After: 15
from launch
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Projected fee-value return on ad spend
4×
Before: untracked
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